The yield environment across the globe is in flux with several world economies offering negative yields. In the United States, the Federal Reserve is raising short term interest rates to cool down a hot economy. What has the impact of this activity been on Treasury futures?
Even with the rate activity, the 10 Year Treasury Futures implied volatility is below the 10th percentile making it one of the lowest prints within the historical dataset! This may not seem like a tradeable opportunity; however, markets have adjusted accordingly, and implied volatility continues to overstate realized volatility.