With the spread between the longer duration yield and shorter duration yields flattening comparably to 2007, Tom and Tony look for opportunities to trade the yield curve.
Things to keep in mind when trading the curve:
- Yields and prices go in opposite directions
- TLT is a 20+ year bond ETF
- IEF is a 7-year bond ETF
- Futures are another outlet to trade the curve
Shorting TLT is one method of making the assumption that the 20-year yield will increase. If IEF has an IV of 4 while TLT has an IV of 11, we want to have 2.5X more IEF than TLT. Since IEF is less liquid, we could get long IEF and simply sell the appropriate amount of calls in TLT.
Tune in as Tom and Tony break down these products in detail and explain management of yield curve positions via ETFs.