Chicago He Said, She Said

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Market Measures

Monday – Friday | 9:00 – 9:20a CT

Seasonality Skepticism

Market Measures

Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before deciding to invest in options.

Here at tastytrade, we rely on data and statistics to determine the validity of concepts and beliefs.

Is there any proof to say that some months outperform others simply because of the time of year?

Study:
  • SPY
  • 1993 - 2018
  • Recorded average monthly returns
  • Recorded average standard deviation of monthly returns
Results

We find that the average monthly returns all hover around zero, and because the variance around the actual return number is so great, there is no statistical significance of any sustained positive or negative returns associated with any month.

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