Market Measures

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Conditional Intraday Reversals

Market Measures

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The chance of a complete reversal given today is a 0.5% or greater rally is 19%, or roughly 1 in 5. The chance of a complete reversal given today is a 0.5% or greater selloff is 23%, or roughly 1 in 4. This segment discusses the probabilities of a reversal given a certain move has already happened, and the previous segments discussed the probabilities of seeing a certain move and then a reversal on any randomly chosen day.

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