Delta: Backtesting its Predictive Value

Delta: Backtesting its Predictive Value

An option’s delta is often used to estimate the likelihood it finishes in-the-money (ITM). Today’s post examines the historical accuracy of that function.

Looking Around the "Trade War" Corner

Looking Around the "Trade War" Corner

Negotiators are working hard to meet a March 2nd deadline for a US-China trade agreement. Will that represent the end of the conflict, or the beginning of a new one?

More Context on Drawdowns

More Context on Drawdowns

When an account suffers a drawdown, what are some tactics we can leverage to mitigate risk?

Exploring Breakeven Points

Exploring Breakeven Points

If you’re looking for additional ways to analyze potential positions, you might consider a breakeven analysis.

Earnings, Binary Events, and the Trade War

Earnings, Binary Events, and the Trade War

A potential trade war announcement during the 1st quarter of 2019 could mean earnings trades may be exposed to not only one “binary event,” but two (or more).

2018 Rewind & 2019 Forecasts

2018 Rewind & 2019 Forecasts

Looking for more insights on the 2018 trading year, as well as a sneak peek into 2019? If so, today’s post is for you!

Recognizing and Managing Tail Risk

Recognizing and Managing Tail Risk

The Santa Claus rally never materialized in 2018. Today’s post highlights tactics traders can consider when the probability of tail risk is heightened.

Defending Against Whipsawing Movement

Defending Against Whipsawing Movement

Market volatility related to the trade war may have produced a “whipsaw” in your portfolio. If that’s the case, today’s post may help you manage such positions in the future...

Looking Into 2019

Looking Into 2019

If you’re starting to think about positioning and tactics in 2019, today’s post may assist with brainstorming!